Port dangerous chemicals supervision mechanism based on evolutionary game

被引：0

作者：

Liu J. ^{[1
]}

Zhou H. ^{[1
]}

Wang J. ^{[1
]}

Kong Y. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] School of Maritime Economics and Management, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian

来源：

Harbin Gongcheng Daxue Xuebao/Journal of Harbin Engineering University | 2019年 / 40卷 / 03期

关键词：

Accident rate; Captive prisoners; Evolution model simulation; Evolutionary game model; Port dangerous chemicals; Regulatory strategy; Replication dynamics;

D O I：

10.11990/jheu.201710039

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

Aiming at the problem in supervision of dangerous chemicals in ports, this paper establishes an evolutionary game model between government regulators and accident rate. A replicator dynamic equation is established to depict the evolutional behavior of government and enterprise during supervision of hazardous chemicals in ports. An evolutionary numerical simulation is carried out. The "paradox of supervision" exists in the supervision of hazardous chemicals in ports. In the short term, enterprises tend to choose the safety strategy for facilities to cope with the strict supervision of the government. In the long run, enterprises cannot consciously choose the safety strategy for facilities. The choice of enterprise strategy is not affected by the enterprise income but is related to the probability of accidents. In the face of low risk, regardless of whether government regulations are strict or not, enterprises choose to ignore risks. In the face of high risk, the government does not take strict supervision, and enterprises will consciously choose safety strategy for facilities. © 2019, Editorial Department of Journal of HEU. All right reserved.

引用

页码：628 / 633

页数：5

共 21 条

[1] Jiang M., Ying M., Study on route selection for hazardous chemicals transportation, Procedia Engineering, 71, pp. 130-138, (2014)
[2] Yu L., Li L., Tang L., What can mass media do to control public panic in accidents of hazardous chemical leakage into rivers? A multi-agent-based online opinion dissemination model, Journal of Cleaner Production, 143, pp. 1203-1214, (2017)
[3] Duan W., Chen G., Ye Q., Et al., The situation of hazardous chemical accidents in China between 2000 and 2006, Journal of Hazardous Materials, 186, 2-3, pp. 1489-1494, (2011)
[4] Li J., Wang Y., Wu J., Et al., Game analysis on risk in express transportation of sporadic hazardous chemicals, Journal of Safety Science and Technology, 12, 3, pp. 108-114, (2016)
[5] Zhang H., Zheng X., Characteristics of hazardous chemical accidents in China: A statistical investigation, Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 25, 4, pp. 686-693, (2012)
[6] Ellis J., Analysis of accidents and incidents occurring during transport of packaged dangerous goods by sea, Safety Science, 49, 8-9, pp. 1231-1237, (2011)
[7] Bu Q., Wang Z., Tong X., Research on cause analysis and safety management for road transportation accidents of dangerous chemicals, Applied Mechanics and Materials, 361-363, pp. 2282-2286, (2013)
[8] Si H., Ji H., Zeng X., Quantitative risk assessment model of hazardous chemicals leakage and application, Safety Science, 50, 7, pp. 1452-1461, (2012)
[9] Li J., Qi J., Zheng Z., Safety evolution mechanism for the maritime dangerous chemical transportation system under uncertainty conditions, Journal of Harbin Engineering University, 35, 6, pp. 707-712, (2014)
[10] Wang X., Xie J., Liu Y., RFID application in dangerous chemicals safety management, Applied Mechanics and Materials, 198-199, pp. 1261-1264, (2012)

← 1 2 3 →