Unveiling the cost competitiveness of sector coupling technologies - Policy impacts on levelised costs of heat pumps and battery electric vehicles in Germany

被引：0

作者：

George, Jan Frederick ^{[1
,2
]}

Held, Anne ^{[1
]}

Winkler, Jenny ^{[1
]}

Eichhammer, Wolfgang ^{[1
,4
]}

Ragwitz, Mario ^{[2
,3
,5
]}

机构：

[1] Fraunhofer Inst Syst & Innovat Res ISI, Breslauer Str 48, D-76139 Karlsruhe, Germany

[2] Univ Freiburg, Fac Environm & Nat Resources, Tennenbacher Str 4, D-79106 Freiburg, Germany

[3] Fraunhofer Res Inst Energy Infrastruct & Geotherma, Gulbener Str 23, D-03046 Cottbus, Germany

[4] Univ Utrecht, Copernicus Inst Sustainable Dev, Vening Meineszgebouw A, NL-3584 CB Utrecht, Netherlands

[5] Brandenburg Tech Univ BTU Cottbus Senftenberg, Pl Deutsch Einheit 1, D-03046 Cottbus, Germany

来源：

SMART ENERGY | 2024年 / 15卷

关键词：

ENERGY-SYSTEMS; MARKET VALUE; EUROPE;

D O I：

10.1016/j.segy.2024.100149

中图分类号：

TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];

学科分类号：

0807 ; 0820 ;

摘要：

Heat pumps and battery electric vehicles play a crucial role in achieving a climate-neutral economy and integrating the Energy Efficiency First Principle into the building and transport sectors, rendering the overall energy system more efficient. To achieve cost competitiveness of these new technologies compared to conventional ones, investments, operating costs and conversion efficiencies are important. We conducted micro-simulations of the development of levelised cost of heat and transport for these sector coupling technologies to assess the direct cost impact of these parameters. With a broad and in-depth analysis of economies of scale, we determine future bandwidths of investment development. Based on this data, we compared implications of two policy scenarios of taxes and levies on final energy prices using a German case study. The first scenario considers recently adjusted taxes and levies: the national emissions trading system in 2021 and the abolishment of the electricity levy to finance renewable energy support in 2022. A counterfactual scenario includes previous framework conditions. Our results show that rising carbon and lower electricity prices already economically favour heat pumps from 2020 onwards. In contrast, taxes and levies do not decisively impact the cost competitiveness of battery electric vehicles, but expected reductions in manufacturing cost do.

引用

页数：15