A Novel Model for Finance and Reliability Applications: Theory, Practices and Financial Peaks Over a Random Threshold Value-at-Risk Analysis

被引:6
|
作者
Aljadani, Abdussalam [1 ]
Mansour, Mahmoud M. [2 ,3 ]
Yousof, Haitham M. [3 ]
机构
[1] Taibah Univ, Coll Business Adm Yanbu, Dept Management, Al Madinah 41411, Saudi Arabia
[2] Taibah Univ, Dept Management Informat Syst, Yanbu 46421, Saudi Arabia
[3] Benha Univ, Dept Stat Math & Insurance, Banha, Egypt
关键词
Risk Analysis; Log-logistic model; Peaks Over a Random Threshold; Marshall-Olkin model; Simulations; Estimation; Reliability Applications; Modeling; OF-FIT TEST; REGRESSION-MODEL; STATISTICAL PROPERTIES; LOMAX DISTRIBUTION; G FAMILY; VALIDATION; BIVARIATE; COPULA; DISTRIBUTIONS; EXTENSION;
D O I
10.18187/pjsor.v20i3.4439
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
In this paper, the authors introduce a new three-parameter lifetime probability distribution known. They thoroughly examine and describe this distribution, providing insights into its characteristics and its suitability for various applications. This newly constructed distribution'sdensity function exhibits characteristics of both symmetry and right-skewness, providing modelling flexibility across a range of datasets. Because of its skewness coefficient, which can take both positive and negative values, awide range of data asymmetries can be represented.The Marshall-Olkin generated log-logistic distribution's corresponding hazard rate displays a variety of characteristics, including monotonic increase, increasing-constant, constant, upside-down, and monotonic drop. Becauseof its adaptability, the distribution can successfully capture various risk or failure rate patterns across time. Using a number of techniques, the researchers expand this distribution to the bivariate domain. Its utility inmodelling multivariate lifetime data and inter-variable relationships is improved by these extensions. The researchers use the maximum likelihood method to estimate the parameters of the distribution, which ensures reliable and effective parameter estimation from observed data. They carryout an extensive simulation research to analyse biases and mean squared errors in a range of scenarios and sample sizes in order to evaluate the finite behaviourof the maximum likelihood estimators. In real-life and reliability applications, this meticulous methodology aids in evaluating the estimators' precision and dependability. Because it may offer a comprehensive and nuaend c knowledge of high financial risks, the Peaks Over Random Threshold Value-at-Risk (PORT-VaR) study iscrucial for evaluating Norwegian fire insurance claims. This fnancial analysis is given extra consideration.
引用
收藏
页码:489 / 515
页数:27
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