Restricted linear association between night sleep duration and diabetes risk in middle-aged and older adults: a 7-year follow-up analysis from the China health and retirement longitudinal study

Background A rapid increase in the prevalence of diabetes is an urgent public health concern among older adults, especially in developing countries such as China. Despite several studies on lifestyle factors causing diabetes, sleep, a key contributor, is understudied. Our study investigates the association between night sleep duration and diabetes onset over a 7-year follow-up to fill information gaps.Method A population-based cohort study with 5437 respondents used 2011-2018 China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study data. Using self-reported night sleep duration from the 2011 baseline survey, information on new-onset diabetes was collected in follow-up surveys. Baseline characteristics of participants with vs. without new-onset diabetes were compared using Chi-square and Mann-Whitney U tests. Multivariable Cox regression models estimated the independent relationship between night sleep and new-onset diabetes. The addictive Cox regression model approach and piece-wise regression described the nonlinear relationship between night sleep and new-onset diabetes. Subgroup analysis was also performed by age, gender, body measurement index, dyslipidemia, drinking status, smoking, hypertension, and afternoon napping duration.Result 549 respondents acquired diabetes during a median follow-up of 84 months. After controlling for confounders, night sleep duration was substantially linked with new-onset diabetes in the multivariable Cox regression model. The risk of diabetes is lower for respondents who sleep longer than 5 hours, except for those who sleep over 8 hours [5.1-6h Hazard ratios (HR) [95% confidence intervals (CI)] = 0.71 (0.55, 0.91); 6.1-7h HR = 0.69 (0.53, 0.89); 7.1-8h HR = 0.58 (0.45, 0.76)]. Nonlinear connections were delineated by significant inflection points at 3.5 and 7.5 hours, with a negative correlation observed only between these thresholds. With one hour more night sleep, the risk of diabetes drops 15%. BMI and dyslipidemia were identified as modifiers when only consider the stand linear effect of sleep duration on diabetes.Conclusion This study establishes a robust association between night sleep and new-onset diabetes in middle-aged and older Chinese individuals within the 3.5-7.5-hour range, offering a foundation for early glycemic management interventions in this demographic. The findings also underscore the pivotal role of moderate night sleep in preventing diabetes, marking a crucial juncture in community medical research.