Data-Driven Modeling of the Spray Drying Process. Process Monitoring and Prediction of the Particle Size in Pharmaceutical Production

Spray drying is used in the pharmaceutical industry for particle engineering of amorphous solid dispersions (ASDs). The particle size of the spray-dried (SD) powders is one of their key attributes due to its impact on the downstream processes and the drug product's functional properties. Offline and inline laser diffraction methods can be used to estimate the product's particle size; however, the final release of these ASDs is based on offline instruments. This paper presents a novel data-driven modeling approach for predicting the particle size of SD products. The model-based characterization of the process and the product's particle size, as a critical quality attribute, follows the quality by design principles. The resulting model can be used for online process monitoring, reducing the risks of out-of-specifications products and supporting their real-time release. A Tucker3 model is trained to capture and factorize the deterministic variability of the process. Subsequently, a partial least-squares regression model is calibrated to model the impact that variability in the input material properties, the process parameters, and the spray nozzle have on the products' particle size. This strategy has been calibrated and validated using large scale production data for two intermediate drug products under high sparsity of particle size data. Despite the challenges, high accuracy was obtained in predicting the median particle size (dv50) for release. The 99% confidence interval results in an error of maximum 2.5 mu m, which is less than 10% of the allowed range of variation.