Association between Care-need Level after Discharge and Long-term Outcomes in 7491 Patients Requiring Rehabilitation for Stroke

Introduction: Stroke is a major cause of disability and mortality worldwide and requires long-term care, including rehabilitation. This study aims to elucidate the association between care-need levels after discharge and long-term outcomes in patients with stroke. Methods: We used a Japanese administrative database that covers both medical and long-term care insurance systems to retrospectively identify 7491 patients who underwent acute-phase in -hospital rehabilitation for stroke between June 2014 and February 2019. We investigated the association between nationally standardized care-need levels (support levels 1-2 and care-need levels 1-3) 6 months after discharge and long-term outcomes. Using the Fine-Gray model, we conducted multivariable survival analysis with adjustment for patient backgrounds and treatment courses to estimate hazard ratios (HR) for mortality and the incidence of being bedridden. Results: The median age was 82 (interquartile range [IQR], 76-87) years, 5418 patients (72%) had cerebral infarction, and 4009 patients (54%) had partial dependence after discharge. During a median follow-up of 580 (IQR, 189-925) days, 1668 patients (22%) became bedridden, and 2174 patients (29%) died. Compared with patients with support level 1, those with higher care-need levels showed significantly higher proportions of being bedridden & horbar; the subdistribution HR [95% confidence interval] were 1.52 [1.10-2.12], 2.85 [2.09-3.88], and 3.79 [2.79-5.15] in those with care-need levels 1, 2, and 3, respectively. Higher care-need levels were also significantly associated with higher mortality. Conclusions: This large-scale observational study demonstrated that a higher level of care-need after discharge was significantly associated with poorer functional outcomes and higher mortality.