Prediction of Green Development of Urban Freight Transportation Based on "Carbon Peak" and "Carbon Neutral" Goals

Around the target of "peak carbon dioxide emissions" "carbon neutrality" for urban transportation and the target of deep emission reduction path, various cities have introduced corresponding policies to promote the low-carbon and green development of urban freight transportation. Based on the statistical data of transportation industry, this paper deeply analyzes the status quo of types, quantity, energy consumption and carbon emission of urban freight vehicles. Consider combining industry development and achieve carbon up to the peak, in the framework of scenario analysis method, based on the regression analysis method, fitting the data and predicting the future energy consumption and carbon emission reduction targets of urban freight in 2035, under the natural situation, the general policy, the strong policy such three situations. And put forward work priorities and policy recommendations for different scenarios. Promote the development of green freight transport in cities, accelerate the green and low-carbon transformation of the urban transport industry, and promote the sustainable and high-quality development of the industry.