Exploration of uncertainty of PRx time trends

Introduction: PRx can be used as surrogate measure of Cerebral Autoregulation (CA) in traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients. PRx can provide means for individualising cerebral perfusion pressure (CPP) targets, such as CPPopt. However, a recent Delphi consensus of clinicians concluded that consensus could not be reached on the accuracy, reliability, and validation of any current CA assessment method. Research question: We aimed to quantify the short-term uncertainty of PRx time-trends and to relate this to other physiological measurements. Material and methods: Intracranial pressure (ICP), arterial blood pressure (ABP), end-tidal CO2 (EtCO2) highresolution recordings of 911 TBI patients were processed with ICM + software. Hourly values of metrics that describe the variability within modalities derived from ABP, ICP and EtCO2 , were calculated for the first 24h of neuromonitoring. Generalized additive models were used to describe the time trend of the variability in PRx. Linear correlations were studied for describing the relationship between PRx variability and the other physiological modalities. Results: The time profile of variability of PRx decreases over the first 12h and was higher for average PRx similar to 0. Increased variability of PRx was not linearly linked with average ABP, ICP, or CPP. For coherence between slow waves of ABP and ICP >0.7, the variability in PRx decreased (R = -0.47, p < 0.001). Discussion and conclusion: PRx is a highly variable parameter. PRx short-term dispersion was not related to average ICP, ABP or CPP. The determinants of uncertainty of PRx should be investigated to improve reliability of individualised CA assessment in TBI patients.