Screening for Breast Cancer Evidence Report and Systematic Review for the US Preventive Services Task Force

IMPORTANCE Breast cancer is a leading cause of cancer mortality for US women. Trials have established that screening mammography can reduce mortality risk, but optimal screening ages, intervals, and modalities for population screening guidelines remain unclear. OBJECTIVE To review studies comparing different breast cancer screening strategies for the US Preventive Services Task Force. DATA SOURCES MEDLINE, Cochrane Library through August 22, 2022; literature surveillance through March 2024. STUDY SELECTION English-language publications; randomized clinical trials and nonrandomized studies comparing screening strategies; expanded criteria for screening harms. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS Two reviewers independently assessed study eligibility and quality; data extracted from fair- and good-quality studies. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Mortality, morbidity, progression to advanced cancer, interval cancers, screening harms. RESULTS Seven randomized clinical trials and 13 nonrandomized studies were included; 2 nonrandomized studies reported mortality outcomes. A nonrandomized trial emulation study estimated no mortality difference for screening beyond age 74 years (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.00 [95% CI, 0.83 to 1.19]). Advanced cancer detection did not differ following annual or biennial screening intervals in a nonrandomized study. Three trials compared digital breast tomosynthesis (DBT) mammography screening with digital mammography alone. With DBT, more invasive cancers were detected at the first screening round than with digital mammography, but there were no statistically significant differences in interval cancers (pooled relative risk, 0.87 [95% CI, 0.64-1.17]; 3 studies [n=130196]; I-2=0%). Risk of advanced cancer (stage II or higher) at the subsequent screening round was not statistically significant for DBT vs digital mammography in the individual trials. Limited evidence from trials and nonrandomized studies suggested lower recall rates with DBT. An RCT randomizing individuals with dense breasts to invitations for supplemental screening with magnetic resonance imaging reported reduced interval cancer risk (relative risk, 0.47 [95% CI, 0.29-0.77]) and additional false-positive recalls and biopsy results with the intervention; no longer-term advanced breast cancer incidence or morbidity and mortality outcomes were available. One RCT and 1 nonrandomized study of supplemental ultrasound screening reported additional false-positives and no differences in interval cancers. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE Evidence comparing the effectiveness of different breast cancer screening strategies is inconclusive because key studies have not yet been completed and few studies have reported the stage shift or mortality outcomes necessary to assess relative benefits.