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Assessing vaccine efficacy for infectious diseases with variable immunity using a mathematical model
被引:1
|作者:
Al-arydah, Mo'tassem
[1
]
机构:
[1] Khalifa Univ, Dept Math, POB 127788, Abu Dhabi, U Arab Emirates
来源:
关键词:
Mathematical model;
Variable immunity period;
Infectious diseases;
Vaccine efficacy;
Disease control;
SIRS EPIDEMIC MODEL;
GLOBAL STABILITY;
NONLINEAR INCIDENCE;
THRESHOLD;
DYNAMICS;
TIME;
D O I:
10.1038/s41598-024-69651-6
中图分类号:
O [数理科学和化学];
P [天文学、地球科学];
Q [生物科学];
N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号:
07 ;
0710 ;
09 ;
摘要:
This study introduces an SIRS compartmental mathematical model encompassing vaccination and variable immunity periods for infectious diseases. I derive a basic reproduction number formula and assess the local and global stability of disease-free and the local stability of the endemic equilibria. I demonstrate that the basic reproduction number in the presence of a vaccine is highly sensitive to the rate of immunity loss, and even a slight reduction in this rate can significantly contribute to disease control. Additionally, I have derived a formula to calculate the critical efficacy period required for a vaccine to effectively manage and control the disease.The analysis conducted for the model suggests that increasing the vaccine's immunity duration (efficacy) decelerates disease dynamics, leading to reduced rates of reinfection and less severe disease outcomes. Furthermore, this delay contributes to a decrease in the basic reproduction number (R0\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$R_0$$\end{document}), thus facilitating more rapid disease control efforts.
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