GOVERNMENTS POINT OF VIEW ON MODELING

Government generally needs many kinds of forecasts and outlooks as fundamental input data in making political decisions. Engineering-economic models are a useful and powerful method for obtaining forecasts of population, economic growth, fuel prices, assessments of limitations on resources, etc., which are fundamental data for policymaking. In recent years, methodologies of synthesis evaluation applied models including and based on preference of political decisions of policymakers have also been studied. This paper shows how economic models can be applied for middle- to long-term political decisionmaking using methodologies of energy technology evaluation as an example, which is a typical political subject, and it refers to a problem awaiting a solution from the government's point of view. © 1990.